Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 14.599218 17.039988 19.699446 22.804134 26.320438 30.170513 34.695955
2025-04-06 10.172116 13.421945 17.335345 22.353974 28.573916 35.981478 45.417724
2025-04-13 7.319350 10.700203 15.119944 21.229860 29.351971 39.661433 53.601010
2025-04-20 6.189913 9.830210 14.910787 22.357189 32.799198 46.700383 66.338644
2025-04-27 5.454900 9.310812 15.003856 23.770613 36.622212 54.411859 80.449262
2025-05-04 4.656569 8.518413 14.533300 24.233536 39.047019 60.292573 92.393928
2025-05-11 3.908629 7.650813 13.788151 24.130471 40.542104 64.866295 102.708755
2025-05-18 3.247818 6.796785 12.918300 23.679654 41.390025 68.462305 111.740689
2025-05-25 2.716279 6.067399 12.135840 23.241927 42.156279 71.910974 120.684114
2025-06-01 2.277234 5.424743 11.401697 22.772570 42.779280 75.115340 129.375416
2025-06-08 1.827259 4.665952 10.336790 21.574623 42.029169 76.023441 134.447684
2025-06-15 1.684821 4.531863 10.437023 22.493943 44.984926 83.119250 149.786949
2025-06-22 1.540020 4.386381 10.536875 23.505841 48.341614 91.355412 167.919559
2025-06-29 1.272313 3.897229 9.868596 22.973281 48.890886 94.953824 178.749706
2025-07-06 1.005629 3.338264 8.950989 21.809544 48.126255 96.188440 185.631893
2025-07-13 0.934277 3.278505 9.139269 22.960638 51.901338 105.715549 207.371377
2025-07-20 0.886266 3.272819 9.450952 24.406140 56.367136 116.755811 232.348941
2025-07-27 0.790038 3.100093 9.330772 24.879568 58.904007 124.385134 251.636882
2025-08-03 0.679499 2.851142 8.976771 24.774126 60.227501 129.805054 267.196320
2025-08-10 0.571014 2.574293 8.499173 24.312975 60.744883 133.694116 280.117600
2025-08-17 0.479980 2.326839 8.053541 23.865189 61.235922 137.537600 293.124109
2025-08-24 0.402101 2.099490 7.619766 23.385018 61.599256 141.128469 305.809433
2025-08-31 0.316797 1.807222 6.933710 22.159324 60.151858 140.960976 311.234859